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FanEx Analysis
Draft
Review
| Rules | Transactions
Draft Rounds
1 | 2
| 3 | 4
| 5 | 6
| 7 | 8
| 9 | 10
11 | 12 | 13
| 14 | 15
| 16 | 17
| 18
Round 5
   
   
 
5.01
|
QB
Kerry Collins
QB: Collins RB:
Tomlinson Taylor RBrown WR:
TE:
PK: |
Kellogg
Analysis
 |
5.02
|
QB Brett Favre
QB:
Favre RB: Alexander
WR:
TE:
PK:
|
Houston
Pitzer
Analysis
|
5.03
|
RB Michael Pittman
QB:
Culpepper McNabb RB:
Westbrook Suggs Pittman WR: TE:
PK: |
Butler
Analysis
|
5.04
|
QB Trent Green
QB:
Green RB: Holmes
Jordan WR: Harrison
TE: Witten
PK: |
Tinker
Analysis
|
5.05
|
QB Marc Bulger
QB:
Bulger RB: James
CBrown Staley WR: Owens TE:
PK: |
Holm
Analysis
|
5.06
|
WR Darrell Jackson
QB: RB: McAllister
Dillon Bell WR:
Walker DJackson TE:
PK: |
Hickerson
Analysis
|
5.07
|
 Trade
Analysis
QB Tom Brady
QB:
Brady RB: Barber
RJohnson Bennett WR:
Harrison TE:
Gates PK: |
Tinker
Analysis
|
5.08
|
WR Steve Smith
QB: RB: DDavis
CWilliams Barlow WR:
AJohnson SSmith TE:
Gonzales PK:: |
Hollar
Analysis
|
5.09
|
WR Rod Smith
QB:
Manning RB:
Martin Foster WR:
Horn TE:
PK: |
O'Leary
Analysis
|
5.10
|
WR Michael Clayton
QB: RB:
McGahee Lewis Dunn WR:
Holt Clayton TE:
PK |
Dolfi
Walls
Analysis
|
5.11
|
WR Nate Burleson
QB: RB:
AGreen KJones Benson Arrington WR:
TE:
PK: |
Cahill
Analysis
|
5.12
|
RB Marshall Faulk
QB:
Manning RB:
Martin Foster Faulk WR:
Horn TE:
PK: |
O'Leary
Analysis
|
|
 5.01 QB
Kerry Collins
By Greg Kellogg
I had hoped to nab Collins in every draft this season. But I
missed out on him in one already. Collins didn't take over the
starting job in Oakland last year until Week Four. He did play
extensively in Week Three so figure he had 14 games to compile
his 289 completions on 513 attempts for 3,495 yards and 21
TDs. His interceptions were high (20), but nine of them came
in three games. Six in his first two as a starter. A year to
work with Jerry Porter and newly acquired Randy Moss should
help in that area.
Speaking of Moss - his talent is singular in this league. No
matter what Terrell Owens or Marvin Harrison or Chad Johnson
or even Torry Holt think, none of them is a match for Randy.
Adding him to the Raiders offense should boost Collins yards
and TDs in 2005. Making Porter a second receiver, which means
a lot more one-on-one coverage without the safety rolling
over, should help him as well.
Let's also not forget the importance of adding LaMont Jordan
and the overall weakness of the Raiders defense. This
situation looks a lot like the Rams, Chiefs and Vikings of
past seasons - and Collins should benefit greatly from that.
|
 5.02 QB
Brett Favre
By Houston | Pitzer
It's a little bit of a stretch to say we're disappointed with
taking Brett Favre in the fifth round, but we would have
preferred to swing a trade, strengthen our picks in the next few
rounds and take a quarterback roughly Favre's equal later on.
Favre's durability is an attraction to any fantasy player, but
he will turn 36 in October and, as with any player at that age,
you have to worry about a rapidly deteriorating skills. There
has been no sign of that with Favre as he had his eighth career
30-TD season last year. He most likely will be very reliable
again, but we feel that we could have gotten similar value at
quarterback had we been able to complete a trade with one of the
teams we were negotiating with.
|
Commissioner
Comments:
OK, so now I'm really impressed with the Houston/Pitzer team.
Shaun Alexander, Steven Jackson, Chad Johnson, Reggie Wayne, and
now the Mighty Warrior. You know, year after year I keep
thinking Favre's iron man streak is bound to end this year.
The odds will catch up with him. Year after year I'm
wrong. Even in the twilight of his career he's a top
ten passer and exceptionally reliable. With the team
Houston/Pitzer is building around him, that's plenty of value to
get out of a 5th round pick.
|
 5.03 RB
Michael Pittman
By Jim Butler
Another starting RB that shows
strong potential for getting the bonus points for receptions. As
Suggs is in Cleveland, Pittman has to deal with a new
runningback face in Tampa, Carnell Williams. I still think that
Pittman showed what he could do last season and will build
even more on it this year, especially is receiving
contributions. From a pure points perspective, Pittman was very
streaky when he played and that's the type of running backs that
can really help in this scoring format.
|
 5.04 QB
Trent Green
By Brady Tinker
With an offensive line full of Pro
Bowlers, Priest Holmes and Tony Gonzalez the Chiefs offense
has become a very efficient and productive machine the last 3
years. Trent Green has a wonderful grasp of Dick Vermeil's
offense and makes very few bad decisions.
Certainly my bye week issue are a
concern since half my team is off during week 5, but I sure
like the team the rest of weeks.
|
 5.05 QB
Marc Bulger
By Tony Holm
In a draft that has a waiver
wire I promote waiting for a QB but in the FAD, I think it
essential to have some reliable contributors at the position
as it’s the highest scoring position.
I looked at the gaggle of
receivers and thought about Darrell Jackson (SEA). I tossed
around a sleeper RB or two but it’s too early for that. So I
decided to purchase a QB here, while the getting was still
good.
Marc Bulger fits the bill as
one of the top QBs to have on your fantasy team. 2005 does not
look deep to me at the QB position and I am adding to my 2005
draft tips to look at the position a little earlier than
usual. Target a Green/Collins/Bulger type QB as it drops
off pretty quickly after this grouping.
Bulger is one of the top QBs in
the league right now. He passed for almost 4,000 yards in 2004
with 21 TDs and 14 INTs. He also posted a healthy 93.7 QB
rating, something I use very heavily when evaluating a fantasy
QB. The knock on Bulger seems to be that he throws too many
picks but a 21/14 TD to INT ratio is actually pretty good in
the NFL. What’s amazing about Bulger is that he piles on the
stats. Twice he threw for over 400 yards and five times over
300. In fact, he threw for over 275 yards in 10 of the 14
games he played in last year. That is indicative of a good QB
with a lot of opportunity.
I believe that Marshall Faulk
will still play a vital role in the passing game of the Rams, especially
near the goal line, evolving into more of a specialist for the
Rams. Bulger’s passing TD numbers will go up this year
because of it.
|
 5.06 WR
Darrell Jackson
By Jerome Hickerson
Darrell
Jackson is our 11th receiver taken in this draft.
Most receivers are up and down statistically, inconsistent in
their production. Darrell is more inconsistent than most, with
the inconsistency often reaching down to level of looking bad on
the field. In spite of this apparent inconsistency,
Jackson
does
produce pretty good fantasy numbers.
Jackson
was the 13th
ranked receiver in our FAD format for 2004. He produced 10 or
more points per game 11 times last year, meaning that he is
likely to break into my starting lineup possibly a dozen or more
times this season. 84 receptions for almost 1200 yards but only
6 scores – if he can increase the TD production slightly,
Jackson
could be a
top 10 receiver this season. Especially if he stops dropping so
many passes….
|
Commissioner
Comments:
Here, Darrell, catch---oops, my bad. Try this one---uh,
nice try. Here's a little easier one---hmmm, tough luck. Fortunately
for Jerome, FanEx owners are not penalized for dropped passes,
or at least only in the sense that missed chances equal lost
opportunities. And fortunately for Jerome, they keep
throwing the ball his way. Hopefully he'll continue to
snag more than he allows to slip away.
|
 5.08 WR
Steve Smith
By Tim Hollar
As Round 5 opened with a the mini-run on quarterbacks, it became
easy to see that the value for this pick would come at wide
receiver. But then the debate became which wideout
to take. There were four names on the short list:
Nate Burleson, Michael Clayton, Steve Smith and Roy Williams,
and through a process of elimination came to the conclusion that
Steve Smith best fit my team's needs.
First, as was the case with the previously acquired Andre
Johnson, Smith is the unquestioned #1 target on a receiving
corps that lacks great depth. He also has the reputation
as one of the league's dynamic playmakers, establishing a great
rapport with QB Jake Delhomme in 2003.
The only real downside to choosing Smith was the realization
that he is coming off a broken leg that robbed him of most of
the 2004 season. According to reports, however, he is on
schedule to return at 100% for training camp, and in fact,
participated in the team's most recent mini-camp.
The hope here is that Smith will step back into his role as
Carolina's lead wideout and gain the lion's share of the 2004
production carved out by the now departed Mushin Muhammed.
|
 5.09 WR
Rob Smith
by Shannon O'Leary
The
main reason I have drafted Rod Smith here in the 5th
round is the potential power of the
Denver
offense. The way I see it is, if
Denver
’s offense doesn’t do something this year the franchise will
start to make some major changes.
Plummer
certainly is not the second coming of John Elway, but can get
the ball down the field at times. Rod is still the number one
guy in the passing game. He is still good for 1000 yards a year,
but lacks the touch down totals that one would like to see out
of a stud receiver.
I
have chosen Smith over a couple of other fine receivers for the
fact that he is the number one passing option in his respective
offense. There are some intriguing number twos and a couple of
guys who have quarterbacks worse than Plummer.
I
figure that Ashley Lelie will have another year of maturity and
the same goes for Darrius Watts. Hopefully that will take some
of the pressure off of Smith, along with the stable of running
backs that
Denver
now has.
This
may not be a spectacular pick, but I feel it is safe to say
Smith will suit up for most of the games this year. He is a
GAMER! |
5.10 WR
Michael Clayton
By Dolfi | Walls
Walls’
Take – A wide receiver
from Tampa Bay – yuck. Well, Michael Clayton is one of the few
guys on the Buccaneers you should even think about taking in the
first 10 rounds of your draft, quite frankly. Tampa Bay had a
respectable passing offense last year, amassing 3,474 yards, of
which Clayton was responsible for 1,193 yards. Despite Tampa’s
QB problems last year, each man taking snaps for the Bucs could
count on Mr. Clayton, I see that trend continuing.
Clayton put up
good numbers from the beginning of the season. He only had 3
games with less than four catches, if you get points for
receptions, you can count on steady production from Clayton in
that stat. Last year Clayton had a total of 80 catches, 19 of
which were on third or fourth down. When a WR gets the ball on
third or fourth down, it means that the QB trusts the WR to best
get the job done – I see Clayton being a target after second
down even more often this year.
Yes, the
players around Clayton (esp. the QB) are an issue, but Clayton
excelled when the lineup was in flux. I think that with a set
lineup, Michael Clayton can do as well as he did last year.
|
| Commissioner
Comments:
So with their backfield filled out
nicely with Jamal Lewis, Willis McGahee, and Warrick Dunn, and
having Torry Holt at WR1, the team of Dolfi & Walls go
with last year's rookie wideout sensation out of Tampa.
Looking to get a bead on this selection, we look to the
previous two rookie wideout sensations and how they did in
year two of their careers: Randy Moss barely let up,
while Anquan Boldin spent most of his soph season in rehab.
Hmmm, no trend there. So how do we feel about Brian
Griese throwing the ball his way? Well, certainly better
than if it were the other QB Jr. in Tampa, the wildly
overrated Chris Simms.
Ultimately we just have to hope
for the best. Clayton had a solid 2004 campaign from
start to finish, and one logically has to expect improvement
now that he's gotten his feet wet, as well as his ankles
and knees. However, as you may expect by late in the 5th
round, there were a number of ways to go. I might have
gone for the most solid QB on the board in Hasselbeck, or if
wideout was desired I may have preferred football magnet Nate
Burleson, who, as it turns out, lasted about one second
longer. Dolfi & Walls went another direction, and
one can certainly not say it is a bad choice.
|
 5.11
WR Nate Burleson
By Duane Cahill
With four running backs in the
fold after four rounds, I'm obviously turning my attention
elsewhere for round 5. There are still several very
good receivers on the board, and that's the direction I'll
go at the 5-6 turn.
Despite Randy Moss' departure to
the Al Davis circus, Daunte Culpepper is still universally
regarded as a top 3 fantasy quarterback, and Nate Burleson
comes into the 2005 season as his #1 target. During
the time that Moss was out in 2004, Burleson posted 29
receptions for 297 yards and 4 scores. Extrapolate
those numbers to a full season, and you get 93 catches for 950
yards and 13 touchdowns. Not a bad WR1, by any
stretch.
Just to assure I'm on the right
track with this, I took a look at the top receiver for the
#3 fantasy quarterback for each of the last few years, and
here are the numbers:
2004 - Terrell Owens (77-1200-14)
2003 - Derrick Mason (95-1303-8)
2002 - Marvin Harrison
(143-1722-11)
Pretty heady stuff.
With the yearlong suspension of
Onterrio Smith, the Vikings ground game won't take away
opportunities. And while the defense has improved, I
don't expect Mike Tice to tone down his high-powered offense
to become a ground control attack.
Burleson is young, a #1
receiver, has a top quarterback in a top offense and has
produced in the past. Everything here adds up to a
much better first receiver than I wound up with last year in
Santana Moss. Happy days!
|
5.12 RB
Marshall Faulk
By Shannon O'Leary
Drafting
Marshall Faulk has always been a favorite of mine,
and maybe I let that enter into this pick. I do however
have a need for some depth at running back. I do understand that
the keys to the offense will be handed over to Stephen Jackson.
With that said, I still think the guy they used to call an
offensive genius will find ways to use Faulk.
In
my opinion the Rams could move Faulk to wide receiver and
probably get a few more years out of him. They are still paying
him some good money, so my money is on the fact that he will
find his way on the field. When he does, he should have fresh
legs and be ready to explode.
All
right, I am just trying to sell myself on this pick but I do
think he has the potential to have some big games. If the Rams
pound the ball with
Jackson
20 or more a game, that should wear down the defense and give
Faulk some opportunities late in the game. Also, if Martz
continues to keep the team playing from behind they will need
Faulk’s receiving ability.
Okay,
I sold myself.
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