Draft Rounds
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16.01 PK Jeff Chandler By  Emil Kadlec of FF Pro Forecast

16.01 PK Jeff Chandler By Guest  Text

16.02 QB Quincy Carter By Tony Holm of The Prognosticator My FAD script had me going into this draft looking for 3 QBs.  In fact, after taking a look at the scoring system I wanted to make sure I got 3 QBs, 2 Ks and stock up on RB and WR.  TE and D I put little stock in so planned to take one of each.  A decent TE and whatever for a D, just get one that is capable of causing turnovers.    I purposely left my Round 16 selection open so that I could go in any direction.  I didn't want to lock myself into taking a D or a K in case there were some decent scraps at the end as there so often are.  This year, there's very little meat left on 'dem bones as the FAD guys have picked the draft skeleton clean.    So while I toyed with another WR,  I settled on QB Quincy Carter.  The QB stocks are lower than North Atlantic Cod this year and in FanEx the QB position tends to score the most points.  You can ill afford to stop generating points from the QB position because you're finished if you do.  Although I have Donovan McNabb I felt a little exposed if the unthinkable happened.  When one of my other guys go down (not if) I have adequate coverage but loss of a QB would be devastating.  Since it's the most injury plagued position in football, I wanted to make sure I had depth.    Quincy Carter will have some good games and some bad.  Carter has excellent size and was the Cowboys first selection in the 2001 Draft (2nd round, 53rd overall).  Unlike remaining QB's he doesn't have someone breathing down his neck.   From CBS.Sportsline.com: He has all the physical and mental skills necessary to excel as a QB in the NFL. The QB I want to have three years down the road, except for Michael Vick, is Quincy Carter. He needs time to re-establish his basics and confidence, but he has the package to become one of the biggest steals at the QB position over the past decade.   There is upside with Carter.  An interesting side note; all his 2001 home games he posted a QB rating over 100, his gem was a win against the 49'ers with a 3 TD day.  Carter has speed as he was one of the fastest QB's in the 2001 draft and is compared to Aaron Brooks at times.  I don't expect miracles but as the 182nd player selected in this draft, he actually adds some interesting potential at a historically injury plagued position.

16.02 QB Quincy Carter By Guest  Text

16.03 PK Morton Andersen  By Duane Cahill of Pitt Tribune-Review If you've been reading my analyses to this point, PK Morton Andersen cannot be a surprise.  My final pick would have had to be a TE, K or some deep sleeper.  Personally, I don't believe this format lends itself to deep sleepers as much as a regular draft might.  In my opinion, it is in a FAD team's best interest to have a backup at every position, since your points are garnered from your best possible lineup.  That having been said, I made a conscious decision to forego a backup TE in order to back up Curtis Martin with Lamont Jordan a few rounds ago.   No sleeper, no TE, so I go kicker.  It's hard to thump my chest over my 16th pick.  He fits my strategy and he's your standard 110-120 point kicker.  He isn't flashy, but he is probably not going to hurt me, either.  He will likely wind up as my starting PK about a third of the time.  About the least "sexy" pick I've ever made in FanEx.  But smart.

16.03 PK Morton Andersen By Guest Don Pinchin of Fantasy Football Bookmarks Morten Andersen?  Is he still alive?  Actually, he is one of the steadiest PKs around and a pretty good pickup at this point in the draft.  He is almost guaranteed to get you 110 points.  Which, for place kickers, puts him squarely in the middle of the pack. What Team Cahill has to hope for on a late selection of this sort is an improvement in the offensive scoring ability of the KC Chiefs.  The Chiefs have had more than their fair share of injuries to star offensive players over the last few years. Hopefully, they will be able to put those injuries behind them and play a full season with their projected starters performing as expected.  If this happens, the Chiefs will be able to move the ball and give Morten Andersen more than his fair share of scoring opportunities. If the Chiefs continue to get snake bit by the injury bug, Morten will still provide steady scoring and should be the high FG scorer four or five times this year for Team Cahill.  In a very competitive league such as this, that point differential could prove very important in the final scoring.  All you can realistically be trying to accomplish, at this point of the draft, is fighting and scratching for every available point that is left on the board.    Morten Andersen gives you a chance to steal a couple of those points.

16.04 TE Anthony Becht By Carlos Panizo of STATS, Inc.  and Chris Rito of FF  Mastermind TE Anthony Becht isn't likely to be a fantasy starter unless you're in a 16-team league, but he's a nice back up player. You look at Becht's 6'5" frame and 275 lbs and you'd figure him to be primarily a blocking TE. That happens to be true but the thing is that the Jets don't have any WRs that are particularly big or good in traffic so Becht sees more than his share of goal line passes which makes him a decent fantasy option during your starter's bye week.

16.04 TE Anthony Becht By Guest  Text

16.05 WR Wayne Chrebet By Shannon O'Leary of FanEx To finish off my draft I will bypass my second TE and back up RB and select WR Wayne Chrebet. Chrebet didn't post very good numbers last year, but this was mostly due to his injury. He should be healthy heading into camp and I expect him to emerge as one of the veteran leaders on the team. This guy has heart and spunk. He doesn't appear fast or very athletic, but he consistently out performs guys like Keyshawn Johnson. (sorry Key) Bottom line is this guy should record the most catches on the Jets this year. He also will provide a few good scoring weeks for my FAD team. In this format, I decided to go for more punch power than play it safe.

16.05 WR Wayne Chrebet By Guest  Text

16.06 PK Steve Christie  By Jerome Hickerson of TalkFootball.com A second kicker is almost a necessity in this format. Christie is a gamble but most available kickers at this point are risks. Obviously, I'm betting that Christie makes the gamble pay off.

16.06 PK Steve Christie By Guest Erik Sabadie If there was ever a reason to abandon "Guest Analysis" after round 12, Steve Christie is it.  To debate the advantages and strategy of a backup kicker taken in the last round is akin to arguing whether your Worldcom stock is worth $.06 or $.05 a share - either way, you don't have much.  But, I digress.   Christie is an aging kicker whose accuracy is on a steady decline and who may lose the kicking job to Wade Richey.  If he gets the job and kicks all year, he should be good for around 105 points in the fair weather of San Diego.

16.07 TE Jay Riemersma By Chris Dolfi of FanEx The only reason TE Jay Riemersma wasn't selected as a FanEx starter or even until this late point in the last half of the 16th round, is that it seems almost a certainty that Buffalo will cut the talented TE for salary cap reasons - and we have no idea who this guy will end up playing for. So why did I take him? Pure and simple - he is head- and-shoulders above every other TE left on the board. Riemersma has never had lower then 200 yards and 2 TDs in one season. And last year, he looked fantastic on a lack- luster Bills squad, grabbing 53 passes for 590 yards and tossing in 3 TDs to boot. The Bills certainly aren't cutting Riemersma for performance reasons, but in today's NFL which seems to be run more by the salary cap and less by talent, they seem bent on releasing him. Whenever they do, some team is going to get an early Christmas present. Even though I don't know who he will be playing for, I know he will play for someone, and he simply has too much talent to pass up. If Riemersma can even hit his average for me this season (about 390 yards and 4 TDs), I've gotten a steal at a backup TE.

16.07 TE Jay Riemersma By Guest  Text

16.08 PK Brett Conway By TC Cannon of Fantasy Asylum  I select a PK3 for this final roster spot. Yes, a third kicker! Those semi-worthless position players that we all enjoy ignoring are gather at the Asylum. Crazy as it seems, I see a true benefit to grabbing a third leg. Kickers go up and down the weekly scoring charts on a very regular basis. One week they hit 3 or 4 FGs. The next they are near invisible. Adding Conway to Mare and Hollis, gives me the best chance to score a strong kicker week.    PK Brett Conway is not an especially strong FF kicker. He will be undrafted in many leagues. Yet, I do see him a positive PK2 option. Based on my forecast for the Redskins, he has a 12 seed on my draft list. If you see these Redskins as a 2002 winner, consider Conway on your roster. He's a Vinatieri type, reflecting his team's success.

2.08 PK Brett Conway By Guest Sean Nemeth He has been erratic in the past, but he's a starting kicker on an offense that could give him a lot of opportunities.  If Spurrier passes as much as we think, it will hurt his team in the red zone.  The lack of room for his passing game to operate could lead to more FG chances for Conway. Didn't Anderson and Del Greco put up huge numbers in those old run and shoot offenses?

16.09 RB Jon Wells By John Hansen of The Guru Report Other than having great speed and quickness, RB Jon Wells is featured back material.  He has good size and is a powerful inside runner and can also catch the ball out of the backfield. They guy can play; what we need to see now is him show that with the pads on and also to see how James Allen is doing with this new club. But since he's probably, at worst, the team's #2 back (and behind the average Allen), I'll take 'em.

16.09 RB Jon Wells By Guest  Text

16.10 PK Jay Feeley By William Del Pilar | Ryan Bonini of KFFL What can we say with our final pick? We looked at each position, i.e. a third QB, sixth RB, fifth WR and even another DT. To be honest, we simply felt that we needed to solidify the place kicker position. Ironically, a few years ago, PK John Carney was lost early in the year due to a tore up knee suffered after a kickoff and tackle. While that was the exception, last season Wade Richey was benched, Steve Christie was cut (Buffalo) and Bill Gramatica tore his ACL. In other words, we do believe in having a backup no matter how remote the possibility of injury because many things can happen during the course of a season. The decision was made easier when we really didn't see anyone that we had to have at the other positions.        We ended up taking Jay Feely and to be honest we weren't all that impressed but were happy that a top ten place kicker was still on the board. This pick boiled down to Feely and Phil Dawson. We did take a look at Kris Brown, John Kasay and Jose Cortez. With Brown being on an expansion team and the track record for kickers on expansion teams in year one being very, very poor he was removed him from consideration. Kasay simply is on a bad team and one that really is a huge question mark. That, along with his past injuries, removed him from consideration but we will acknowledge that not taking him could be a mistake if the team surprises this year in terms of moving the chains. He has the leg and the team has allowed him to kick past fifty yards (2-5). Regarding Cortez, he will be competing in training camp against Jeff Chandler and is not a lock to win the job, so we did not want to take him and risk completely blowing a pick, though if he had the job sewn up, we think he would have probably been the logical choice.     What this boiled down to was a process of elimination, i.e. eliminating what was left in terms of the best of the worst and the winner was Feely. We liked the fact that he plays for an indoor team and he has been allowed to kick past fifty yards (2-4) while Dawson had no attempts past fifty. Dawson is the more accurate (beneficial in the FAD) of the two, but also kicks outdoors and that could be one reason he was not allowed to attempt the long ones. Winter games in Cleveland can be brutal and most of his away games will be outdoor as well. The end result in all of this was Feely's longer distance kicks and the fact he finished in the top ten in 2001 showing the ability to produce points in this scoring system. We are concerned with his accuracy beyond 40-yards (4-9 from 40-49 yards) but think that will improve as he kicks more in the NFL and further develops his accuracy.  Do we expect him to be a top ten PK this year? Your guess is as good as ours at this point because it's based on how well QB Michael Vick does in moving the team up and down the field. In three games with Vick taking the majority of snaps he had five attempts. We're the first to admit that's a very poor ration when extended to a 16 game season but we also think that's too small a window to make an accurate prediction. However, for a backup we think he's adequate and will get the job done for our squad.

16.10 PK Jay Feeley By Guest  Text

16.11 DT Saints By Greg Kellogg of Komments.com Last year four FAD teams settled on one defense, myself included. I figured since I had the Tampa Bay Buccaneers I really didn't need a second defense. Of the four, I made out the best with Tampa providing me with 135 points. The average defensive score for those teams that had one defense was 117 points. The low was 104 points with my 135 being high. Those teams that grabbed two defenses averaged 164 points (47 better on average) with a low of 142 and a high of 200. These numbers alone dictate that you must take two defenses or suffer a tremendous disadvantage. I am taking the New Orleans Saints to go with my Pittsburgh Steeler selection primarily because they are in the new NFC South. This means six of their games will come against the Buccaneers, Panthers and Falcons. Tampa will be in a new more passer friendly offense, while Carolina and Atlanta will be starting second year QBs which should lead to sacks and turnovers.

16.12 QB Shane Matthews By Greg Kellogg of Komments.com I had fully intended to grab my second kicker here.  But the folks over at the Footballguys forums threw out so many ideas in trying to guess my 'secret' strategy, that when I looked them over - I changed my mind. Last year, seven teams drafted two PKs while five drafted one.  Those seven teams averaged 138 points from that position while the teams that drafted just one guy averaged 101 - a 37 point swing.  When you combine that with the 47 point average swing between grabbing two defenses vs. one, that was a whopping 84 point differential - I thought that was a lock. But then I decided to look at the differences between the teams that selected three QBs as opposed to those that selected just two - truthfully I did not expect there to be much of a difference.  I was wrong - and very wrong at that. First, of the teams that grabbed two QBs, six of the ten teams had one of their QBs miss at least five games - two of them had QBs miss 14 games. Another team had a QB miss, or score zero points in three games.  That showed me how little help you got if your QB didn't play the whole season. The two teams that selected three QBs each had one of the three break out for over 200 points by themselves.  Further, they both had both backups play the entire season.  Tony Holm and Chris Rito were the two owners that used this strategy.  How successful were they?  How about this - they both scored 286 points from the QB position.  The average for the 2-QB teams was 234 points, with a low of 169 and a high of 295 (Kurt Warner and Charlie Batch).  What this shows is that unless you get Warner or Jeff Garcia, you ought to be willing to spend an extra pick on your QB position. So when I looked at the differentials - 37 for two kickers vs. 52 for three QBs, it was clear to me that the extra QB was the way to go.  I was left with the starting QB for six teams to select from.  Baltimore, Chicago, Detroit, Houston, San Diego and Washington. In Detroit, Chicago and San Diego there is a very real possibility of a QB change part way through the season.  Baltimore has lost a great deal of talent and is starting a virtual rookie in Chris Redman.  Houston is probably going to go with rookie David Carr, but he may not begin the season as the starter.  Washington has Shane Matthews and Danny Wuerful.  If I selected a player that ended up on the pine I would have been better off taking Kris Brown - my intended PK pickup. After much agonizing, I decided that it was unlikely that Wuerful would beat out Matthews and Washington did have solid receivers - much better than Redman, who would have been my next choice, will be throwing to.  Factor in the Spurrier offense and I felt Matthews gave me my best chance to add the most points from this draft position.

16.12 QB Shane Matthews By Guest Shawn Bryant Basically, you look at your last pick as a pie-in-the-sky pick, so I'm a big advocate of taking a flier on someone that could, just maybe, surprise.  Apparently Greg came to a similar conclusion.  I agree with Greg that a second kicker or defense, especially at this spot, is a wasted pick. After all, odds are you're going to play that backup once during the year anyhow, and why not just pick up the filler the week before you need it? On to the pick ; QB Shane Matthews, somewhat of a fantasy heartbreaker.  How many times did he show flashes with the Bears, only to go down with injury?  This year he moves to a new team and gets to work with his college coach and system, which made him look like a much better QB than he actually was in college.  So, who's to say he won't fit right in with the other ex-Gators and light it up this year? I like the pick, especially at this point in the draft. 16.12 QB Shane Matthews By Guest Richard Harris of BTGSports.com How often can a coach who is graduating from college to the pros say that he had more talent at quarterback on his previous team?  That may be the case for Redskins coach Steve Spurrier, who coached Rex Grossman at the University of Florida last year.  Spurrier now must choose between two career backups, Shane Matthews and Danny Wuerffel, and two inexperience youngsters, second-year pro Sage Rosenfels and rookie Patrick Ramsey.    Matthews is the favorite to win the starting job.  He’s heady, has experience in Spurrier’s system, and has more of an arm than Wuerffel (which is not saying much).  Spurrier is well known for being an offensive genius, and that makes Matthews a sleeper candidate.  However, the odds of all of the offensive pieces falling into place in the coach’s first season are not very good, and we cannot ignore that Spurrier is also well known for having a quick hook for his QBs.  Ramsey and Rosenfels are more physically gifted than Matthews, and I would be very surprised if at least one of them did not see a fair amount of playing time this season.